Current War Situation in Ukraine (July 1 Update)
LIBERATED AREA
Ukrainian Army Forces have already liberated 169 square kilometers in the south of
Ukraine (on the Melitopol and Berdiansk directions).
It is the same as the area of Odesa.
July 13, 2023
1 PERSON KILLED AND 4 INJURED
For the3rd night in a row russia attacks Kyiv oblast and the capital with drones.
At night (July 13, 2023), the Army Forces of Ukraine shot down 20 drones and 2 Kalibr missiles.
The falling debris hit a residential building.
One person was killed.
500 DAYS OF BRAVE OPPOSITION
July 8, 2023
On the 8th of July, there was the 500th day of the brutal war that russia unleashed against Ukraine.
Some facts:
6.9 million Ukrainians migrated (the United Nations’ refugee agency);
The death of 9,083 civilians have been registered (the real toll is going to be much higher);
15,779 civilians have been wounded in Ukraine injured;
The cost of destruction is more than $143bn (the Kyiv School of Economics);
It is estimated that russia controls less than 20% of Ukrainian territory;
Damage to the environment in estimated to be €51 billion, which is
€102 million per day (the Minister of Environmental Protection and Natural Resources of Ukraine, Ruslan Strilets).
DEMINING OF THE FIELDS
UKRAINE IS GOING TO RETURN UP TO 35% OF AGRICULTURAL LAND TO USE THIS YEAR
- More than a third of the agricultural lands of priority return have been checked and demined (as of July 11, 2023).
- Since the beginning of the year, more than 160,000 ha (out of 470,000 ha) have been checked and demined (the Ministry of Economy).
In particular, the following were examined:
- Kharkiv oblast— 135 hectares;
- Chernihiv oblast— 393 hectares;
- Mykolayiv oblast— 1,019 hectares;
- Kherson oblast — 1,968 hectares.
Only 6% of agricultural land has been demined in Kyiv oblast.
Ukraine needs at least 300-400 automated demining complexes to demine all agricultural land in two seas.
GENERAL SITUATION
The Army Forces of Ukraine advance around the city of Bakhmut.
There is also slow progress in the eastern Donetsk and south- eastern Zaporizhzhia oblasts.
THE GAINS OF UKRAINE AND RUSSIA COMPARED
The ISW has calculated that Ukrainian forces have recaptured about 253 square kilometres of territory since the beginning of the counter- offensive on 4 June.
BLACK SEA GRAIN INITIATIVE
Since the beginning of the Black Sea Grain Initiative, about 33mln tons of agricultural products have been exported.
June 26- July 2, 2023 (the 48th week of operation): 275,7K tons of agricultural products were exported (23% less than a week before).
July 3-9 2023 (the 49th): 151,8 K tons of agricultural products were exported (45% less than a week before).
4 vessels were loaded, which is 2 less than the previous week.
These vessels are loaded, but they have not yet passed the necessary inspection. The “grain agreement” expires on July 17. Earlier, the ministry of foreign affairs of russia stated that there are no grounds for its extension.
One of the key demands of russia regarding the continuation of the “grain corridor” is the return of Rosselkhozbank to the SWIFT banking system.
Government officials say that if the “grain corridor” is not extended, the state is considering alternative routes.
Export of grain in 2022/23 MY reached almost 49 mln tons:
- Shipment of corn increased by a quarter compared to the previous season (up to 29 mln tons).
- 10% less wheat was sent to foreign markets.
The development of the Bystre estuary on the Danube will increase grain exports by 1 mln tons.
HARVESTING
- Agricultural producers in 12 oblasts of Ukraine have started early grains harvesting (the Ministry of Agrarian Policy and Food).
- As of July 6, the new crop grain was collected on 308.2 K ha (3% of the projected area).
- 1.024 mln tons of grain have been already harvested:
barley: 805.8 thou. t on 235 thou. ha (16%), the avg. yield 3.43 t/ha;
wheat: 172 thou. t on 51.4 thou. ha (1%), 3.35 t/ha;
peas: 45.8 thou. t on 21.7 thou. ha (15%), 2.11 t/ha.
5 oblasts have launched the winter rapeseed campaign — 86.2 K tons have been harvested.
UGA improves harvest in 2023 by 1 mln tons (to 69 mln tons of grain and oil crops).
In 2022, the harvest reached 73.8 mln tons of grain and oil crops.
